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We seem to agree basically on the number, but not, perhaps, on the triviality.
I do not agree that my calculated 0.32 deg F temp boost is off, and your assertion that this small temp rise will cause increased heat release from the tank is true, but the uncorrected is close enough for a ball park calculation that involves big assumptions of tank volume and skimmer air.
You did not convert the watts to a tank heat, nor assume anything about tank volume. 3.5 watts for 24 h gives 84 watt hours.
That’s enough to boost 300 L of water by 0.24 deg C = 0.43 deg F.
Regardless of what we think is significant or not, folks can see the numbers and decide.![]()
It is only enough to raise the tank temperature by 0.43 F in 24 hours if the heat removed from the tank does not change. The dissipation of heat from the tank will increase with increasing temperature and will mitigate this temperature rise significantly. Otherwise, it would heat the tank up to the outside temperature. Predicting the final equilibrium temperature where heat in equals heat out is a very challenging calculation. A 300 liter tank in your example will likely have a a couple hundred watts of energy already being directed at it in the form of pumps, power heads and light that must be dissipated. I don't think adding 3.5 watts is going to change the bulk temperature much. If someone asked if adding a 3.5 watt power head was going to overheat their 300 liter aquarium, I don't think anyone would say they should be concerned, yet the energy is about the same. That was the basis of my comment to the OP