but surely 20 frags/local population is < 20 frags/national population- no? You're absolutely right- we talk ourselves often into how rare something is, and while I suppose many purchase based upon that, I really believe they're a minority- most people buy based on what they think looks cool. The potential rarity may affect that decision, but I don't believe it to be the primary rationality with the majority of people.
Ah, but you see, on a national level, its not about the majority or minority, its simply about finding that one sucker who will pay the price - thats not supply and demand. And my personal opinion is that I don't believe its the minority that are getting sucked into the high prices. IMO the minority are the ones that are sitting back, watching the soaring prices and shaking their heads. The minority are the ones that are trading corals and cherry picking from friends tanks. Want a current example, look at Lee's sale thread, even he admits he got caught up in the name game and bought stuff based on the name rather than appearance, no he's dumping the vast majority of it and keep only a very few. Why? Cause the real thing seldom stands up to the jaked up internet pictures under the bright blue lighting and its just not real impressive.
And certainly there's very few items being transhipped via the single polyp- just like there's very few SPS's being transhipped via 1" pieces, right? But if there's 20 colonies of 50 zoa's imported to the US, that's 1,000 polyps. Seems like a reasonable number sample for a 'rare' polyp, right? Lets say 60% never find their way online (I personally believe it's even less that make it 'online' but regardless) that's 400 polyps left for the entire national consumption of online buyers. 400 polyps/national consumers- is that rare or not? I'd say it's rare- but that's just my take on my numbers, so not worth much, lol.
Do you really think that anyone is collecting and shipping anything that is rare? My personal opinion is that if you're seeing it transhipped it ain't rare, period. The rare ones are still in the ocean and collectors aren't allowed to take them out of the ocean, so if they are truly rare, you're not seeing them.
As for gas- obviously I don't have a problem with it or else I wouldn't keep driving my truck and buying gas to do so- There is not a single person in the world forcing me to buy gas. Only person who's doing so is myself- so while I may cuss everytime I pass a gas station and see the price, I'm not going to hate anyone for it but myself. I could take the bus, I could walk, bicycle, convert my vehicle to propane/natural gas, or any number of other options for transit without gas- but I purchase the means that I prefer, and thus the cost I'm paying is apparently justified by me, the consumer. I see zero difference between it and my coral buying- if I didn't feel like paying the price, I shouldn't-there's alternatives. But just like my view on bicycling, I equally don't like the idea of having a tank full of xenia and GSP :tongue:
Once again, you're ignoring the point that even though you choose to pay the price for gas, it really has nothing to do with the supply of gas. Oil companies raising the price of gas using any excuse that comes along. We pay, because we've choosen a lifestyle that requires us to. Not all of us have the choices that you do. There is no public transportation available in this part of the country, walking or biking isn't going to get me the 12 miles to town and home that I make on a daily basis regardless of weather, and propane is more expensive than gasoline, so why would I convert over? I do choose to own and drive the most economic vehicle I could get locally, but I still have to pay the price like it or not. But again, that price is not set by supply.
Arguing that the coral market is based on supply and demand IMO is an incorrect and invalid argument. Its not really about supply and demand, its become more and more of a collectors game. Any time you have something that is collectable, you are going to get those individuals who both buy and sell with an eye strictly to making a profit, and any time you have that, you have individuals who are going to try and create a desire to purchase that has nothing to do with true supply and demand.
Truth is that very little of the American economy is driven by true supply and demand. If it were, food would be one of the most expensive items out there, and farmers would have to be subsidiesed by the American Government and therefore the taxpayers (read me and you). True supply and demand went out of the American economy a long time ago. People always want to argue that its supply and demand because we've all learned in school that that is what our economy is based on - in reality in todays world, its not.
Again, I have nothing against those who need to make a profit making a reasonable profit. Truth is I'm all for it, many members of my family are in buisiness and make their living that way.
