Makes sense if you care about environment. Financial sense? Not really. Payback is often 15-20 years and that does not take into account the fact that in 7 years you will buy one for 30% Less than today. Also does not take into account t what you could do with that money. If you lease, and then want to sell your home, you are responsible for the balloon balance remaining unless you are really a good sales person and get the buyers to take on the paper. Also, if you lease on a cost per kWh, you pay for 100% produced. And, should they produce less, they can come climb on YOUR roof whenever they want - because you rented it to them. Good luck.
I'm no greenie... sure, I like a clean environment, but if it doesn't make financial sense, I'm not going to do it. As for cost justification, I've been saying much the same thing for many years. Not so sure that's true anymore.
1st, dismiss anything you've said about leasing... I'm not going to do that.
After rebates and tax incentives, I'd be financing just under 40k @ 3% for 20 years. Scary, I know. Hear me out. Payments on that will be just over $200. I"m paying $450 a month on average for electricity now. With a grid tied system, calculated to produce about the same amount of electricity as I use annually, my average electric bill will be $15 (that's the connection fee). So... for 20 years, I'll save over half of what I'm paying... if electricity stays at the same cost (and no, it won't). System is fully guaranteed for 25 years, so, even if the entire system dies immediately after the guarantee expires, I'll pay virtually nothing for electricity for 5 years. At my age, with decent maintenance, I believe I can expect this system to last me the rest of my life.
So. 225 (or so) savings a month, X 20 years, = 54k in savings on a 40k investment, the day it's paid for, it'll have paid for itself, plus 35%.
Add in just 5 years of $30 electrical payments (assuming the connection cost doubles), and you can add another 25k to that savings. Based on my reading, I expect the system to last longer than that, but for this, we'll just say it's going to die the day the guarantee ends.
If I do nothing, and the price of electricity doesn't go up a penny (fat chance), I'll spend 135,000 on electricity in the next 25 years.
As for system price decreasing... Rebates and tax incentives are rapidly drying up (Fed tax rebate expires in 2021. My power company ends their rebate in 2020, assuming it's not extended). Will prices on panels keep going down? Sure. By 80% in 7 years? No way... half the cost of installing a system is labor. No way that's going down, and the price of the panels has been flattening out for several years now.
Oh, and moving? They'll take me out of this place in a pine box. I'm not going anywhere.