For the record…I always post pics and data as to what I’m seeing. Why do I never see anybody else posting pictures and data? :)
Just would like to further elaborate on this point made here... Lol.
I preface this post with the disclaimer that I am a humble newcomer to this hobby and forum. Hopefully I don't wax too philosophic. :beaming-face-with-smiling-eyes: :rolling-on-the-floor-laughing:
There’s so much we can’t test for that it makes these kinds of discussions almost pointless. There are so many tanks out there that don’t follow these ratio‘s that are gorgeous, stable and long lived. It’s obviously more complex than 100:1, 50:1, 16:1 or 10:1. Plus, what we see in our tanks is likely weeks or more likely months old reactions. Like you said, nitrates, and probably phosphate, need to be high enough…. But why? Is it because another chemical bond is forming at some marked level whi is different in each tank or an inhibitory reaction due to lower levels. What does pH tell us?
Would love to see this data. Still, if it isn’t randomized and blind it can still be biased.
Can tell me what measurement you used as your criteria? Algae per square inch? Color and consistency of algae?
I'm taking this very seriously, else I wouldn't be replying.
How do you define "...does much better..."? Then, how would you measure it? Come up with your null/alt hypothesis. Once you decide what those are, create a spreadsheet with randomized ICP data - but no other data like photos or descriptions. Find those which fall within your metrics and those that fall outside your metrics. Compare the results with your "...does much better..." measure, then use the raw data to form a statistical model. You could use the TotM aquariums as a control. Easy peasy lemon squeezy. No need to get other people's anecdotal observations.
I agree with everything you are saying. The amount of variables at play, the difficulty of testing/documenting, conducting actual controlled studies, creating non-subjective, consistent definitions of benchmarks. And it's true that the mechanisms at work with the nutrients may not be understood in totality by anyone. I actually think this dynamic is understood by most people that are actually able to grow acros.
However, is it a bit too far to call the discussion (almost) pointless? The thread was started in the spirit of discussing Nitrate's affect on acros, with some anecdotes discussed. The history of the discussion around nutrients was also briefly mentioned. There have been genuine leaps in understanding (from my possibly limited perspective) about nutrients over the last 10, 20, 30 years. Definitely leaps in technology, such as what is possible with water testing.
Would be interesting to do a randomized meta analysis of the data to see if your observations are supported or just confirmation bias. I randomly chose 5 tank of the month aquariums and none had those ratios. Also looked at couple of online retailers with the same results. I don’t see how anyone could rely on hobby grade test kits not to mention what’s binding to what in our aquariums to even attempt to lock down those ratios over a long period of time. I’m sorta new to acropora, but I’ve been keeping most other types off and on for 18 years and I’ve seen so many trends come and go. It’s hard not to be a sceptic in this hobby I guess.
So, there's a paper?
BRS made a short video on nitrate/phosphate ratios and I echo their rational.
At best that is an anecdotal observation, at worse an absolutist assertion. But, let's say you are correct, which I haven't see any evidence for yet. Does this ratio scale infinity? If not, what is the point of diminishing results (what measure constitutes 'results' anyway)? What are the mechanisms involved? Does adaptability play a role? What of the examples I mentioned?
You have brought up many valid points, discussing things like "meta-analyses", "psychological biases", "null hypotheses", and in general pointed out many holes and asked questions of Reefaholic's train of thought and data. You have also implied strong skepticism of Reefaholic's findings (rg ICPs/observations) due to the fact that there was no paper presented. I suppose you are relishing in your moniker.
All of these factors that preclude truly reliable analysis, again from my perspective, are all constantly being refined and improved upon by us hobbyists. I think posting further observations/anecdotes, rather than criticizing what has been presented, would be a far more fruitful contribution. I believe for these reasons, Reefaholic alluded to his doubt of your seriousness in this discussion.
Further, my observation is that there seem to be a cadre of individuals in this hobby that tend to lock themselves up in a psychological "Ivory Tower" of sorts which can easily shut your mind out to valuable insights and new techniques, and serve to discourage aforementioned progression of such techniques.
It's probably a terrible analogy, but it's like saying you should completely eschew the perspective of the guy benching 405 in the gym, in favor of the peer reviewed kinesiology dissertation. They both have their place. If that body builder tells me that his diet consists of a lot of kiwis and mangos, it might be totally incidental, but a worthwhile conversation and interesting thing to examine.
I think most of us like playing scientist, but at the end of the day I have a sneaky suspicion this fad too will pass and we’ll learn that it’s more complicated than a ratio.
After all my lurking here, I also noticed a constantly prevailing dichotomy (dare I say, tired circle****) between "old timers" and "new guys" where the "Old timers" have a strong reluctance to new "fads" and ideas. But aren't we stagnant without new paradigms to explore? I.e., there may be some wisdom to embracing the new waves.
I really appreciate and
admire Reefaholic's musings on all of these topics, and the others that have attempted to present their own findings. I think he is digging deep and really trying to further the hobby, or at least his own understanding.
I (respectfully) strongly disagree with the attitude that these types of discussions and debates should be discouraged. If that is not your intention, then sorry I misunderstood! And I think we should
encourage people to "play scientist" and indulge curiosity! The collective goal should be to push the envelope of what is possible, and gain understanding.
To re-iterate, the above is my
opinion, and I'm totally comfortable if you completely disagree :beaming-face-with-smiling-eyes:. Carry on y'all.