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So many factors can be at play. I have the 6-stage BRS system; 4 canisters, two membranes. I exchanged the two membranes after about 4-5 years, and they were both still clean as whistles. That is just to say, generally speaking, if all of the parts of your system are working properly and being changed fairly regularly, that membrane you have in the photo should be good for at least three years or more, minimum. Just my 2-cents there. Hope that helps!